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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
31.81% ( -0.09) | 27.61% ( 0.12) | 40.58% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.7% ( -0.47) | 57.3% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.86% ( -0.37) | 78.14% ( 0.37) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( -0.3) | 33.18% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% ( -0.34) | 69.78% ( 0.34) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( -0.24) | 27.69% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( -0.31) | 63.25% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.8% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.57% |
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