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National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park

Brackley Town
4 - 0
Curzon Ashton

Pollock (2'), Newton (13' pen.), Roberts (42'), Lowe (68')
O'Sullivan (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Spencer (73'), Griffiths (90+4')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawCurzon Ashton
31.81% (-0.087 -0.09) 27.61% (0.121 0.12) 40.58% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.7% (-0.465 -0.47)57.3% (0.467 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (-0.371 -0.37)78.14% (0.373 0.37)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (-0.301 -0.3)33.18% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (-0.336 -0.34)69.78% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.236 -0.24)27.69% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (-0.305 -0.31)63.25% (0.308 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 31.8%
    Curzon Ashton 40.57%
    Draw 27.6%
Brackley TownDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.8%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 11.79% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.57% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-3 Scunthorpe
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Northampton
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Quorn 2-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Boston
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 1-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-0 Needham Market
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Halifax
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-2 Altrincham
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-2 Fylde
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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