SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Scunthorpe United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
25.69% ( 0.22) | 25.62% ( -0.22) | 48.69% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( 1) | 52.63% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( 0.85) | 74.27% ( -0.85) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% ( 0.73) | 35.43% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.81% ( 0.75) | 72.19% ( -0.75) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( 0.42) | 21.63% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.25% ( 0.63) | 54.74% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.69% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 48.69% |
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