SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Darlington |
52.7% ( 0) | 24.41% ( 0.02) | 22.89% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.8% ( -0.09) | 50.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.84% ( -0.08) | 72.16% ( 0.07) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( -0.03) | 19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.43% ( -0.06) | 50.56% ( 0.05) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.07) | 36.58% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( -0.07) | 73.37% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 52.69% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.89% |
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