SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Oxford City |
54.4% ( 1.3) | 24.15% ( -0.33) | 21.44% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% ( 0.27) | 50.69% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( 0.23) | 72.59% ( -0.24) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( 0.6) | 18.53% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.22% ( 1.01) | 49.77% ( -1.01) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.73% ( -0.81) | 38.26% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.98% ( -0.78) | 75.02% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.4% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
