Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.