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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Reebok Stadium
G

Bolton
2 - 2
Gillingham

Afolayan (86'), Lee (90+1')
Afolayan (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Akinde (11'), Dempsey (14')
Dempsey (40'), Tucker (56'), O'Keefe (67')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Gillingham.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawGillingham
49.04%25.21%25.75%
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05%50.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18%72.82%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55%53.45%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53%34.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82%71.18%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 49.03%
    Gillingham 25.75%
    Draw 25.21%
Bolton WanderersDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-2 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.75%

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