Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.