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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Whaddon Road
M

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Morecambe

Sercombe (26'), Joseph (65', 68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Phillips (38')
O'Connor (52'), Gnahoua (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
38.03%26.56%35.41%
Both teams to score 52.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.39%52.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73%74.26%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08%26.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76%62.24%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54%28.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78%64.21%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 38.03%
    Morecambe 35.41%
    Draw 26.56%
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.41%

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