Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
