Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harborough Town win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bury had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Bury win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harborough Town would win this match.
-0.44) 
0.69) 
