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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%).
| Result | ||
| Hednesford Town | Draw | Gainsborough Trinity |
24.55% ( -0.09) | 21.72% ( -0.07) | 53.73% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.4% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.48% ( 0.26) | 36.52% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.33% ( 0.29) | 58.67% ( -0.28) |
| Hednesford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( 0.07) | 27.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.77% ( 0.09) | 63.23% ( -0.09) |
| Gainsborough Trinity Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.29% ( 0.14) | 13.71% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.04% ( 0.28) | 40.96% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hednesford Town | Draw | Gainsborough Trinity |
| 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 24.55% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.74% Total : 53.73% |
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