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League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2020 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
OU

Fleetwood
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Camps (1'), Madden (76')
Duffy (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruffels (53'), Long (87')
Coverage of the League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawOxford United
41.76%25.92%32.32%
Both teams to score 53.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.51%50.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58%72.42%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04%23.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81%58.19%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63%29.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65%65.35%
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 41.76%
    Oxford United 32.32%
    Draw 25.91%
Fleetwood TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.76%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.62%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.32%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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