SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 80.84%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 6.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 1-2 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Ipswich Town |
80.84% ( -0.4) | 12.39% ( 0.24) | 6.77% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.7% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.31% ( -0.64) | 30.69% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.98% ( -0.76) | 52.01% ( 0.75) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.21% ( -0.2) | 5.79% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.71% ( -0.57) | 22.28% ( 0.56) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.69% ( -0.06) | 48.31% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.54% ( -0.05) | 83.45% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.18% Total : 80.84% | 1-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.79% Total : 12.39% | 1-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 6.77% |
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