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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
BR

Birmingham
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Buchanan (6'), Stansfield (37' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Bristol Rovers

In the midst of their longest winning run of the campaign, Birmingham should be extremely confident of extending their unbeaten run at home to nine league matches. That being said, a Bristol Rovers side full of rest and with a top goalkeeper could make it a taxing afternoon for the title candidates in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol Rovers
71.75% (-0.211 -0.21) 17.57% (0.247 0.25) 10.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.72% (-0.97 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (-1.224 -1.22)42.52% (1.232 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-1.232 -1.23)64.93% (1.24 1.24)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.49% (-0.375 -0.38)10.51% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.81% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)34.19% (0.87 0.87)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.2% (-0.858 -0.86)47.8% (0.866 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.92% (-0.642 -0.64)83.08% (0.64999999999999 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 71.74%
    Bristol Rovers 10.68%
    Draw 17.57%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.43 0.43)
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 5.39% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.089 -0.09)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 71.74%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 10.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Stockport
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-2 Birmingham
Sunday, December 1 at 1pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-0 Bristol Rovers (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Blackpool
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Crawley
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One


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