SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
47.1% ( 0.17) | 25% ( -0.05) | 27.89% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( 0.13) | 48.64% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( 0.12) | 70.75% ( -0.13) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( 0.13) | 20.68% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% ( 0.2) | 53.28% ( -0.21) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.03) | 31.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( -0.03) | 67.94% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.1% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.89% |
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