Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Chelsea |
33.13% ( -0.05) | 23% ( -0.02) | 43.86% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 64.29% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.19% ( 0.05) | 36.81% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.02% ( 0.06) | 58.98% ( -0.06) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.72% ( -0) | 22.27% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.27% ( -0.01) | 55.72% ( 0.01) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% ( 0.05) | 17.28% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.38% ( 0.08) | 47.62% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.37% Total : 33.13% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 4.14% Total : 43.86% |
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