Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Leicester City |
55.92% (![]() | 20.93% (![]() | 23.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.79% (![]() | 34.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.9% (![]() | 56.1% (![]() |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.71% (![]() | 12.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.95% (![]() | 38.04% (![]() |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% (![]() | 27.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% (![]() | 62.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 9.59% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 9.14% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.9% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.65% Total : 23.15% |
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