Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.2%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Leicester City |
48.01% (![]() | 21.96% (![]() | 30.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.88% (![]() | 33.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.14% (![]() | 54.86% (![]() |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.65% (![]() | 14.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.79% (![]() | 42.21% (![]() |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% (![]() | 22.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% (![]() | 55.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 9.04% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 3.58% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 9.31% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 7% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.03% |
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