We said: Manchester City 2-0 Leicester City
After putting seven past Leeds and netting four versus Newcastle, there is no reason to expect City to slow down heading in to 2022, and the home side can pick up three points against hit-and-miss opponents even if they are not at their free-flowing best.
Leicester's troubles will go on, as even a vast improvement in James Maddison's performances of late cannot help them match a multi-talented side on top form - particularly given their defensive difficulties.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
