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EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Anfield
LL

Liverpool
3 - 3
Leicester

Liverpool win 5-4 on penalties
Oxlade-Chamberlain (19'), Jota (68'), Minamino (90+5')
Morton (10')
FT
(aet)
Vardy (9', 13'), Maddison (33')
Maddison (74'), Thomas (89')

We say: Liverpool 2-1 Leicester City

The level of uncertainty surrounding this match makes it nigh-on impossible to call, and this tie perhaps more than any other will bring the pitfalls of forcing the fixture schedule to continue into sharp focus. Both sides will likely be fielding patched-up sides amid varying stages of coronavirus outbreaks, and the result could depend on just how badly Leicester are still affected by their own. If it does come down to squad depth then Liverpool should just about have the edge, although this is a fixture packed with variables which could swing it either way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%).

Result
LiverpoolDrawLeicester City
50.67%22.78%26.55%
Both teams to score 60.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.33%39.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.98%62.02%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16%15.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.98%45.02%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54%63.46%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 50.67%
    Leicester City 26.55%
    Draw 22.78%
LiverpoolDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.73%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 50.67%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-1 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.54%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 26.55%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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