SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Oxford United |
| 31.69% | 25.45% | 42.86% |
| Both teams to score 55.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% | 70.81% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% | 28.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.23% | 64.77% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% | 22.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.74% | 56.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.12% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.69% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.86% |
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