Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.