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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
BR

Peterborough
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Szmodics (20'), Mumba (63')
Norburn (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coutts (30' pen.)

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Both teams have been struggling within their respective leagues, which is why there is a lot to fight for within this particular FA Cup tie. However, Peterborough United have slightly more quality within their group, and that should be enough to see them into the next round, while it will be a closely-contested match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
48.86%24.41%26.74%
Both teams to score 55.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13%46.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88%69.12%
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76%19.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.04%50.96%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5%31.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11%67.88%
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 48.86%
    Bristol Rovers 26.74%
    Draw 24.41%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.06%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 26.74%

Read more!
Read more!


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