SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Plymouth Parkway had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-3 (6.93%). The likeliest Plymouth Parkway win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Parkway | Draw | Worthing |
22.44% ( 0.89) | 20.23% ( 0.37) | 57.33% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 65.24% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.34% ( -0.66) | 31.65% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.83% ( -0.78) | 53.16% ( 0.78) |
| Plymouth Parkway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( 0.34) | 26.62% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( 0.45) | 61.85% ( -0.45) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.91% ( -0.53) | 11.08% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.53% ( -1.18) | 35.46% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Parkway | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 22.44% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.93% ( -0.14)0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.81% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.1)3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.13% Total : 57.33% |
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