SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Welling United |
61.37% ( -2.35) | 19.68% ( 0.71) | 18.95% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 61.43% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.91% ( -0.55) | 34.09% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.04% ( -0.63) | 55.96% ( 0.63) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.23% ( -0.74) | 10.78% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.22% ( -1.69) | 34.78% ( 1.69) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( 1.37) | 31.15% ( -1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.51% ( 1.57) | 67.49% ( -1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.29)1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.36)4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.21)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 61.37% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.23)0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.68% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.21)Other @ 3.49% Total : 18.95% |
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