SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 56.03%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Maidstone United |
22.41% ( -0.04) | 21.56% ( -0) | 56.03% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.24% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( -0.02) | 38.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( -0.02) | 60.43% ( 0.02) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -0.04) | 30.32% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( -0.05) | 66.5% ( 0.05) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% ( 0.01) | 13.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.36% ( 0.02) | 40.64% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 22.41% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.26% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 56.03% |
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