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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.05%) and 1-3 (5.01%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
37.24% ( -0.57) | 21.93% ( -0.18) | 40.83% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 69.59% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.66% ( 0.89) | 30.34% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.4% ( 1.06) | 51.6% ( -1.06) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% ( 0.14) | 17.31% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.33% ( 0.26) | 47.67% ( -0.26) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( 0.66) | 15.84% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.97% ( 1.21) | 45.03% ( -1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.93% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.85% Total : 40.83% |
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