Solihull's recent form has been impressive, but the same cannot be said for Hartlepool, who have had a difficult start to the season. We are expecting a close match on Saturday afternoon but believe that the home side will progress to the second round of the competition courtesy of a narrow success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
