Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.09) 
