Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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