SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Kettering Town |
55.81% ( 0.07) | 22.47% ( -0.02) | 21.72% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.77% ( 0.01) | 43.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.38% ( 0.01) | 65.62% ( -0.01) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( 0.03) | 15.34% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.9% ( 0.05) | 44.1% ( -0.05) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% ( -0.04) | 33.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.55% ( -0.05) | 70.45% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)5-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 55.81% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.72% |
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