Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chester FC in this match.
Result | ||
Kettering Town | Draw | Chester FC |
25.3% ( 0.02) | 26.68% ( 0.02) | 48.02% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.2% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1% ( -0.07) | 56.89% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.19% ( -0.05) | 77.81% ( 0.06) |
Kettering Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.89% ( -0.02) | 38.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.13% ( -0.02) | 74.87% ( 0.02) |
Chester FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.26% ( -0.05) | 23.74% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.12% ( -0.07) | 57.87% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Kettering Town | Draw | Chester FC |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.3% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 48.01% |
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