SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
47.53% ( 0.03) | 24.08% ( -0.03) | 28.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( 0.14) | 44.33% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( 0.13) | 66.7% ( -0.13) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( 0.06) | 18.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.81% ( 0.1) | 50.19% ( -0.1) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.07) | 28.96% ( -0.07) |
