Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sutton United in this match.
