Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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