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National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
1 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

Hyde (71')
Donaldson (40'), Adam Williams (81'), Blackman (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vincent (38')
Fielding (33'), Bakrin (49'), Dabre (84')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Hampton
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
52.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)49.98% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.96% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)35.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)72.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 52.1%
    Tonbridge Angels 23.41%
    Draw 24.47%
Chelmsford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 52.1%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.04%
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 23.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Hampton
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Southend
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 MK Dons
Wednesday, July 24 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Barnet
Monday, July 22 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-3 Braintree
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Weymouth
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-3 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-3 Bromley
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-2 St Albans City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South


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