SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-0 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
16.64% ( 0.13) | 21.43% ( 0.07) | 61.93% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.79% ( -0.09) | 46.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( -0.09) | 68.5% ( 0.09) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.98% ( 0.1) | 41.02% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% ( 0.09) | 77.57% ( -0.09) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( -0.1) | 14.37% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.75% ( -0.19) | 42.25% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 16.64% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.43% | 0-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.09% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 61.92% |
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