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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
W

Grimsby Town
0 - 1
Wealdstone


McEachran (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reid (90')
Scott (16'), Kretzschmar (29')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Grimsby Town and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Man City U21s (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawWealdstone
47.21% (0.083000000000006 0.08) 23.62% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 29.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 59.89% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31% (-0.253 -0.25)41.69% (0.252 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.9% (-0.257 -0.26)64.09% (0.25699999999999 0.26)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)17.88% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (-0.116 -0.12)48.66% (0.116 0.12)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (-0.211 -0.21)27.07% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (-0.275 -0.27)62.44% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 47.21%
    Wealdstone 29.17%
    Draw 23.61%
Grimsby TownDrawWealdstone
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.17% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 47.21%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.33% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.17%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Man City U21s (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-4 Walsall
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Braintree
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-3 Yeovil
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 4-1 Gosport Borough
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 2-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in National League


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