SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for York City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | York City |
48.74% ( -0.91) | 24.68% ( -0.03) | 26.57% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.81% ( 0.86) | 48.19% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( 0.78) | 70.34% ( -0.79) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( -0.03) | 19.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.11% ( -0.06) | 51.88% ( 0.05) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( 1.22) | 32.32% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( 1.36) | 68.83% ( -1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 48.73% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.6% Total : 26.57% |
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