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WL
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 8, 2020 at 12.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
C

Wigan
2 - 3
Chorley

Garner (19'), James (34')
James (88'), Obi (102')
Long (41')
FT
(aet)
Newby (48'), Cardwell (60'), Hall (92')
Hall (8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Chorley win it was 1-2 (5.48%).

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawChorley
57.94%21.54%20.53%
Both teams to score 57.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46%40.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08%62.92%
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24%13.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.96%41.04%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61%33.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98%70.02%
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 57.94%
    Chorley 20.53%
    Draw 21.54%
Wigan AthleticDrawChorley
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 6.56%
3-0 @ 5.98%
3-2 @ 3.6%
4-1 @ 3.25%
4-0 @ 2.96%
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 57.94%
1-1 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 5.44%
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-1 @ 5.04%
0-2 @ 2.76%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 20.53%


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