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FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Molineux Stadium
BL

Wolves
3 - 2
Brentford

Semedo (36'), Frazer (72'), Cunha (105+5' pen.)
Kilman (115')
FT
(aet)
Collins (13'), Maupay (52')
Peart-Harris (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBrentford
36.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 24.75% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 38.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.62% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)44.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)66.89% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (-0.012 -0.01)24.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)58.42% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.74% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)56.42% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 36.31%
    Brentford 38.94%
    Draw 24.75%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 Everton
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-1 Chelsea
Sunday, December 24 at 1pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-0 Wolves
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Brentford
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League


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