SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Gateshead |
21.26% ( -0.14) | 23.39% ( -0.05) | 55.35% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( 0.04) | 47.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 0.04) | 69.97% ( -0.04) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% ( -0.12) | 36.79% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.42% ( -0.12) | 73.58% ( 0.12) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% ( 0.09) | 17.11% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.68% ( 0.15) | 47.32% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.26% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 3.81% Total : 55.34% |
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