SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
40.65% ( 0.15) | 25.95% ( 0.07) | 33.39% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.63% ( -0.37) | 50.37% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( -0.32) | 72.3% ( 0.32) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( -0.08) | 24.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( -0.12) | 58.91% ( 0.12) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( -0.32) | 28.61% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( -0.41) | 64.41% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.4% |
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