SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for KTP had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest KTP win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
37.47% ( 0.08) | 24.65% ( -0.02) | 37.88% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.06% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.01% ( 0.12) | 43.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.63% ( 0.11) | 66.37% ( -0.12) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( 0.09) | 23.25% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% ( 0.14) | 57.18% ( -0.14) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( 0.02) | 23.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( 0.03) | 56.86% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.88% |
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