SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Haka |
29.27% ( 0.06) | 25.83% ( 0.01) | 44.9% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( -0.01) | 51.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( -0.01) | 73.15% ( 0.01) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( 0.04) | 31.91% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.64% ( 0.05) | 68.36% ( -0.05) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( -0.04) | 22.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( -0.06) | 56.5% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.27% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.9% |
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