SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
20.75% ( -1.28) | 23.14% ( 0.08) | 56.11% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( -1.88) | 47.33% ( 1.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( -1.77) | 69.55% ( 1.77) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( -2.3) | 37.05% ( 2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.16% ( -2.36) | 73.84% ( 2.36) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( -0.25) | 16.68% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.44% ( -0.45) | 46.55% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.75% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.75) 0-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.6)1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.1% |
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