SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Lahti |
35.01% ( 0.94) | 26.62% ( 0.27) | 38.36% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% ( -1.01) | 52.9% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( -0.87) | 74.51% ( 0.87) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( 0.09) | 28.83% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( 0.11) | 64.69% ( -0.12) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -1.14) | 26.86% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( -1.52) | 62.16% ( 1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.36% |
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