Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jaro win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jaro win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Lahti win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lahti | Draw | Jaro |
36.93% ( 0.01) | 25.08% ( 0.11) | 37.99% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.47% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.97% ( -0.51) | 46.02% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.67% ( -0.48) | 68.33% ( 0.48) |
Lahti Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( -0.23) | 24.47% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.08% ( -0.32) | 58.92% ( 0.32) |
Jaro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.1% ( -0.3) | 23.9% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.89% ( -0.42) | 58.11% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Lahti | Draw | Jaro |
2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.99% |
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