Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
Result | ||
Oulu | Draw | Lahti |
39.79% ( 0.46) | 26.06% ( 0.02) | 34.15% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 53.73% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.31% ( -0.14) | 50.69% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.41% ( -0.12) | 72.59% ( 0.12) |
Oulu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( 0.18) | 25.06% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% ( 0.25) | 59.74% ( -0.25) |
Lahti Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( -0.36) | 28.29% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( -0.46) | 64.02% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Oulu | Draw | Lahti |
1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.15% |
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