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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
ML

Bologna
0 - 2
AC Milan


Aebischer (30'), Zirkzee (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Giroud (11'), Pulisic (21')
Hernandez (51'), Krunic (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Cesena
Friday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Novara
Sunday, August 13 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Bologna 1-1 AC Milan

Milan may take a while to gel following a summer of upheaval on and off the pitch, so a well-prepared Bologna side should restrict the Rossoneri to just one point. Though their past record in this fixture may not suggest so, the Emilians are generally tough to beat on home turf - however, they probably lack sufficient firepower to cause an opening-day upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
BolognaDrawAC Milan
38.01% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 27.27% (-0.023 -0.02) 34.72% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (0.084000000000003 0.08)55.51% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (0.067999999999998 0.07)76.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.074999999999989 0.07)28.3% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.091999999999999 0.09)64.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)30.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.019000000000005 0.02)66.49% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 38.01%
    AC Milan 34.71%
    Draw 27.26%
BolognaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.01%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Cesena
Friday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Bologna
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-5 Bologna
Saturday, May 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Roma
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Bologna
Monday, May 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Novara
Sunday, August 13 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Trento
Wednesday, August 9 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, August 2 at 4am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 AC Milan (0-0 pen.)
Friday, July 28 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 AC Milan
Monday, July 24 at 3.10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 7-0 Lumezzane
Thursday, July 20 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1


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