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May 11, 2022 at 7pm UK at Amsterdam Arena
Ajax
5 - 0
Heerenveen
Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, May 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 89.48%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 3.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (1.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
89.48% (-2.592 -2.59) 7.13% (1.6069 1.61) 3.39% (0.9911 0.99)
Both teams to score 49.55% (1.777 1.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.82% (-3.076 -3.08)18.18% (3.08 3.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.51% (-4.665 -4.67)35.5% (4.672 4.67)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.59% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)2.42% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.57% (-2.623 -2.62)11.43% (2.6281 2.63)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.78% (2.161 2.16)49.22% (-2.154 -2.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.89% (1.485 1.49)84.11% (-1.479 -1.48)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 89.47%
    Heerenveen 3.39%
    Draw 7.13%
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
3-0 @ 10.27% (0.298 0.3)
4-0 @ 9.57% (-0.548 -0.55)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.9 0.9)
3-1 @ 7.28% (0.64 0.64)
5-0 @ 7.14% (-1.086 -1.09)
4-1 @ 6.79% (0.043 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.86% (0.954 0.95)
5-1 @ 5.06% (-0.418 -0.42)
1-0 @ 4.44% (0.807 0.81)
6-0 @ 4.43% (-1.131 -1.13)
6-1 @ 3.14% (-0.563 -0.56)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.369 0.37)
4-2 @ 2.41% (0.16 0.16)
7-0 @ 2.36% (-0.867 -0.87)
5-2 @ 1.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
7-1 @ 1.67% (-0.477 -0.48)
6-2 @ 1.11% (-0.12 -0.12)
8-0 @ 1.1% (-0.539 -0.54)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 89.47%
1-1 @ 3.14% (0.728 0.73)
2-2 @ 2.08% (0.443 0.44)
0-0 @ 1.19% (0.297 0.3)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 7.13%
1-2 @ 1.11% (0.309 0.31)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 3.39%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-0 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, April 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NEC 0-1 Ajax
Saturday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, April 17 at 5pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, April 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 1-3 Ajax
Saturday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, May 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-3 Cambuur
Sunday, May 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 Groningen
Sunday, April 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, April 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Heracles
Friday, March 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Feyenoord11005233
2PSV EindhovenPSV11004133
3AZ AlkmaarAZ11002023
4SBV Excelsior11002023
5Ajax11003213
6FC Twente11001013
7Groningen10102201
8FC UtrechtUtrecht10102201
9FC VolendamVolendam10102201
10RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk10102201
11Heerenveen10100001
12Sparta RotterdamSparta10100001
13Fortuna SittardSittard100123-10
14NEC100101-10
15Go Ahead Eagles100102-20
16Cambuur100102-20
17Vitesse100125-30
18EmmenEmmen100114-30
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